In the closest Swedish election estimate, a single seat separates the blocs
Mahdalová & Škop
Sweden is electing a new Riksdag today, from 8:00 to 20:00. The latest polls, conducted on 4–11 September, give Magdalena Andersson's red-green bloc a lead of 45.9–51.5% against 47.8–49.0% for Ulf Kristersson's governing coalition – in the closest estimate, the difference is a single seat, 175 to 174. If the right wins, the nationalist Sweden Democrats could take government posts for the first time in history: they agreed on this in March with the Liberals, who themselves are above the 4% threshold by only a small margin.
9/13/2026
